PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BTCGOOSE

0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2

Realised P&L
$-8.1k
Volume
$7.27M
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$54.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7420.945$7.6k+$1.6k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2720.278$7.4k+$138.15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.964$6.5k+$710.02
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.968$5.8k+$408.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.945$5.7k+$211.80
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8620.900$5.4k+$230.09
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7980.955$2.9k+$475.24
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.4990.550$2.7k+$253.24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.974$1.9k+$108.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$1.7k$2.3k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8170.865$1.6k+$90.51
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.8330.425$1.1k$1.1k
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9070.962$980.44+$55.13
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.956$669.20+$32.20
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8630.945$571.96+$49.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 02:15Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$1.8k
07-20 16:25Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.26$100.43
07-08 13:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.91$21.7k
07-08 01:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.9225236$5.5k
07-02 14:57Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.9$6.3k
06-17 02:32Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6555324154$4.0k
06-15 01:14UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999999$1.5k
06-14 21:21Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.8999999999$7.0k
06-14 21:11US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.8799419238$2.0k
06-12 17:16US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.83$1.7k
06-12 17:16US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.8282488335$6.0k
06-12 14:56Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3435711538$3.0k
06-12 13:39Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3376395282$2.0k
06-12 10:49Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299642538$1.2k
06-11 17:59US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?BUY0.3519273438$1.2k