BTCGOOSE
0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $7.27M
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $54.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.3kat 0.640Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$15.3kat 0.108US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$6.7kat 0.731Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$5.7kat 0.600US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.530US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 02:15 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.8k |
| 07-20 16:25 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $100.43 |
| 07-08 13:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $21.7k |
| 07-08 01:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9225236 | $5.5k |
| 07-02 14:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.3k |
| 06-17 02:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6555324154 | $4.0k |
| 06-15 01:14 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1.5k |
| 06-14 21:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.8999999999 | $7.0k |
| 06-14 21:11 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.8799419238 | $2.0k |
| 06-12 17:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 06-12 17:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.8282488335 | $6.0k |
| 06-12 14:56 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3435711538 | $3.0k |
| 06-12 13:39 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3376395282 | $2.0k |
| 06-12 10:49 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299642538 | $1.2k |
| 06-11 17:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.3519273438 | $1.2k |