LR1
0xad287cbd7db82d684a5066515c7ee624df111601
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $3.06M
- Markets traded
- 1,037
- Open portfolio
- $15.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,037
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.319Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$5.7kat 0.001US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$3.8kat 0.354Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.5kat 0.831Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$3.2kat 0.001Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 06:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.144 | $0.72 |
| 07-15 14:11 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 07-15 14:10 | Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-12 02:49 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1925 | $38.50 |
| 07-12 02:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.6825 | $143.32 |
| 07-10 22:36 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6475 | $323.75 |
| 07-10 22:35 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $71.00 |
| 07-05 21:54 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 07-05 21:50 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $3.90 |
| 07-04 00:07 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $53.09 |
| 07-03 03:09 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-03 03:08 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 04:58 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 06-25 22:31 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 22:30 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |