windtree
0xad529df14c293d77984a0137990a1441b25211ac
- Realised P&L
- $63.4k
- Volume
- $11.70M
- Markets traded
- 2,956
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,956
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.998Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$5.1kat 0.057Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.194US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.087Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:10 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.67 |
| 08-02 20:06 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-02 20:06 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $69.72 |
| 08-02 20:05 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $81.49 |
| 08-02 19:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $73.55 |
| 08-02 19:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $22.86 |
| 08-02 18:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 18:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-02 18:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.32 |
| 08-02 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $645.00 |
| 08-02 17:54 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $34.44 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.443 | $44.30 |
| 08-02 17:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.034788527 | $347.89 |
| 08-02 16:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18875 | $226.50 |