Zelenearn0
0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $1.43M
- Markets traded
- 939
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded939
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.769Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$906.36at 0.052Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$602.56at 0.719Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$575.35at 0.205US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$441.20at 0.190Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2710700337 | $50.67 |
| 08-03 01:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-03 01:53 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.979 | $11.29 |
| 08-03 01:33 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.9770441834 | $17.47 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.101 | $1.03 |
| 08-03 01:27 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.122 | $1.49 |
| 08-03 01:21 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1164842029 | $19.25 |
| 08-03 01:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $51.60 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.0187230256 | $0.67 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.0175615667 | $5.27 |
| 08-02 22:21 | Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $56.60 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $30.96 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $50.40 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $51.60 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2894716195 | $16.68 |