PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Zelenearn0

0xb04a46908c7cd7e62acbbbf08ec6e395336bacfc

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$1.43M
Markets traded
939
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded939
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.915$768.61+$7.07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5270.455$676.18$107.03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4160.390$613.06$41.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7670.795$557.28+$19.71
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6130.635$532.40+$18.04
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.8580.865$406.95+$3.48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8520.935$404.93+$35.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3190.445$338.32+$95.85
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9600.960$282.25$0.26
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9630.960$187.27$0.51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · No0.5610.720$184.46+$40.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5700.785$170.01+$46.56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9070.935$168.38+$5.16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5910.525$154.17$19.28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1250.118$141.88$7.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2710700337$50.67
08-03 01:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.28$5.60
08-03 01:53Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.979$11.29
08-03 01:33Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.9770441834$17.47
08-03 01:28Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.101$1.03
08-03 01:27Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.122$1.49
08-03 01:21Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1164842029$19.25
08-03 01:08Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.43$51.60
08-02 23:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.0187230256$0.67
08-02 22:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.0175615667$5.27
08-02 22:21Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.29$56.60
08-02 22:05Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.43$30.96
08-02 22:04Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.42$50.40
08-02 22:03Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.43$51.60
08-02 21:50Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2894716195$16.68