R79dgahr
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705
- Realised P&L
- $150.1k
- Volume
- $16.65M
- Markets traded
- 952
- Open portfolio
- $1.09M
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded952
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.6kat 0.027Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
- +$58.6kat 0.084Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$25.2kat 0.044Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$23.3kat 0.025Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$21.5kat 0.833US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:13 | Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9799067899 | $7.4k |
| 08-02 23:12 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.1k |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.89 | $39.85 |
| 08-02 22:45 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8997966185 | $937.71 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1345304813 | $784.53 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.0190351274 | $6.22 |
| 08-02 22:18 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.981 | $129.99 |
| 08-02 22:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.7492592593 | $80.92 |
| 08-02 22:04 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.7658524235 | $4.2k |
| 08-02 20:50 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.059627152 | $29.72 |
| 08-02 20:47 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.9787389444 | $343.05 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.02 | $227.82 |
| 08-02 09:09 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2971833959 | $278.78 |
| 08-02 09:08 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.36 |
| 08-02 08:54 | Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1169231896 | $206.73 |