hard
0xb1e294e978493fd1bc642c674ade517d07dc666d
- Realised P&L
- $178.60
- Volume
- $530.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,560
- Open portfolio
- $34.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,560
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.23at 0.077Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$12.02at 0.062Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.78at 0.002Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.65at 0.061Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.90at 0.068Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 04:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.109 | $0.44 |
| 07-18 04:52 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.30 |
| 07-18 04:51 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.577 | $1.70 |
| 04-23 06:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.64 |
| 01-24 08:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.58 |
| 12-30 03:17 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $83.40 |
| 11-04 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $83.24 |
| 10-18 05:01 | Will Solana reach $260 October 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.90 |
| 10-11 14:46 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 October 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.86 |
| 10-02 07:30 | Will Solana dip to $140 September 29-October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.82 |
| 09-25 03:15 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.78 |
| 02-11 05:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 02-07 09:01 | Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.92 |
| 02-07 09:01 | Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.09 |
| 02-07 09:00 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.11 |