PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb29994d97167814Bf84d523FBa3f845dF18fd48C-1730293900065

0xb29994d97167814bf84d523fba3f845df18fd48c

Realised P&L
$-142.73
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$132.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3910.195$71.58$72.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.065$25.75$26.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.043$17.16$2.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.025$9.59$3.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.245$4.69$4.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0950.030$3.22$6.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.018$0.59$0.41
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.3940.000$0.00$23.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$6.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$20.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on May 23? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17? · No0.0150.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 07:34Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?BUY0.0084772195$1.51
07-02 07:32Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?BUY0.02$2.00
06-26 05:42Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999979$50.00
06-24 20:13Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$10.00
06-24 17:23Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$10.00
06-17 12:54Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-17 06:35Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?BUY0.3899999982$100.00
06-17 05:51Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0947499076$10.00
06-17 05:28Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.009$1.01
02-23 07:45Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4699999765$9.00
02-23 07:37Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1743118578$2.00
02-14 06:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17?BUY0.0110888923$5.00
02-14 06:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?BUY0.0595$5.95
02-13 16:46Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY0.1$1.00
02-12 07:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?BUY0.2399999918$20.00