0xb29994d97167814Bf84d523FBa3f845dF18fd48C-1730293900065
0xb29994d97167814bf84d523fba3f845df18fd48c
- Realised P&L
- $-142.73
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $132.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.87at 0.105MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$187.73at 0.159Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
- +$90.02at 0.100Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
- +$56.82at 0.209MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$23.45at 0.542Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 07:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0084772195 | $1.51 |
| 07-02 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 05:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 20:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 17:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 12:54 | Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 06:35 | Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 05:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0947499076 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 05:28 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.01 |
| 02-23 07:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999765 | $9.00 |
| 02-23 07:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1743118578 | $2.00 |
| 02-14 06:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.0110888923 | $5.00 |
| 02-14 06:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.0595 | $5.95 |
| 02-13 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-12 07:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |