PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vad1

0xb476d52d74d0ecd55fb80f9bc96e93a267ad6eac

Realised P&L
$-21.8k
Volume
$2.80M
Markets traded
1,370
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,370
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2460.530$641.96+$344.44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.250$250.00+$70.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3200.225$210.94$89.06
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes0.7990.606$151.54$48.46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2200.605$137.50+$87.50
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9000.915$101.67+$1.67
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$47.22$2.77
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1670.011$20.14$271.71
Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer? · Yes0.0590.034$11.53$8.47
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? · Yes0.0500.027$10.89$9.11
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.0510.041$4.10$1.00
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.4900.785$3.20+$1.20
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer? · Yes0.0570.011$3.11$12.21
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.1280.030$2.35$7.65
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0560.002$1.50$54.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:13CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 0.5BUY0.4099999954$25.00
08-03 01:08CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5BUY0.7755555556$13.96
08-03 01:03CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 0.5BUY0.5679999967$25.00
08-03 00:59CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5BUY0.8$25.00
08-03 00:55CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 0.5BUY0.7899999956$25.00
08-03 00:53CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 0.5BUY0.6829999929$25.00
08-02 23:13SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5BUY0.69$3.45
08-02 23:01SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5BUY0.75$25.00
08-02 22:52SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5BUY0.7884231526$25.00
08-02 22:01CD Moquegua vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 0.5BUY0.5957394963$11.41
08-02 21:52CD Moquegua vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 0.5BUY0.72$9.36
08-02 21:42CD Moquegua vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 0.5BUY0.7768924277$25.00
08-02 19:45Deportivo Madryn vs. CA All Boys: O/U 0.5BUY0.7799999944$25.00
08-02 19:42CA Chaco For Ever vs. Deportivo Moron: O/U 0.5BUY0.6899999925$25.00
08-02 19:38Olimpija Ljubljana vs. Aluminij Kidricevo: O/U 0.5BUY0.6586826336$25.00