0xB4c7ECd60441Ee960598ed1648E3E93648294Df0-1779525172944
0xb4c7ecd60441ee960598ed1648e3e93648294df0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.57
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $77.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.110 | $39.29 | −$10.71 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.024 | $38.01 | −$31.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.13at 0.719Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:55 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0239999988 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 19:33 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 19:31 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0666452736 | $50.00 |
| 05-25 14:32 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL | 0.986 | $137.13 |
| 05-23 09:37 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.7189999981 | $100.00 |