PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb85790388ae047df3a8b6e44b39ff9045f329648

Realised P&L
$102.62
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$48.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:11Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.26$3.64
08-03 03:11Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.15$3.30
08-03 02:32Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.2599999384$2.70
08-03 01:05Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.16$1.60
08-02 22:43Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.27$11.88
08-02 22:43Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.16$4.96
08-02 22:23Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.1445255253$5.28
08-02 22:23Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.2661345637$13.77
08-02 08:45Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.9308333333$67.02
08-02 08:42Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.88$44.00
08-02 08:35Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.6340514645$69.30
08-02 02:19Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.72$23.04
08-01 23:07Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.75$37.50
08-01 19:32Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.12$3.12
08-01 19:11Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?SELL0.12$1.56