0xb85790388ae047df3a8b6e44b39ff9045f329648
- Realised P&L
- $102.62
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $48.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.295 | $35.44 | +$3.45 |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.130 | $12.94 | −$2.20 |
| Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$16.26 |
| Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.001 | $0.16 | −$18.88 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$6.44 |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$2.69 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.81at 0.634Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$48.60at 0.580Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
- +$26.55at 0.596Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
- +$26.20at 0.701Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
- +$25.23at 0.437Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:11 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.64 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.30 |
| 08-03 02:32 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.2599999384 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 01:05 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.88 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.96 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.1445255253 | $5.28 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.2661345637 | $13.77 |
| 08-02 08:45 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.9308333333 | $67.02 |
| 08-02 08:42 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 08-02 08:35 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.6340514645 | $69.30 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.72 | $23.04 |
| 08-01 23:07 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 08-01 19:32 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.12 |
| 08-01 19:11 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.56 |