PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

denizz

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73

Realised P&L
$2.49M
Volume
$98.60M
Markets traded
990
Open portfolio
$1.31M

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded990
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7180.925$355.8k+$79.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7360.795$300.6k+$22.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8690.875$90.5k+$616.77
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7700.945$78.5k+$14.5k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4030.540$60.3k+$15.3k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7570.905$55.5k+$9.1k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6540.795$40.7k+$7.2k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6330.804$39.2k+$8.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5400.585$33.6k+$2.6k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3900.460$27.9k+$4.3k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5120.810$27.2k+$10.0k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6610.780$26.0k+$3.9k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.345$19.4k+$2.2k
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7480.880$14.2k+$2.1k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.875$13.0k+$811.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.48$23.46
08-02 20:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.52$540.11
08-02 18:36US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.64$328.31
08-02 18:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.53$212.00
08-02 18:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.43$629.00
08-02 18:02Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.55$6.40
08-02 17:41Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.56$7.77
08-02 17:41Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.46$26.60
08-02 17:41Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.4541207687$225.92
08-02 12:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5$2.4k
08-02 12:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4899600533$1.6k
08-02 09:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.24$8.65
08-02 09:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.2515359738$433.06
08-02 09:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.44$193.98
08-02 08:05Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.61$38.49