antoinelegwr
0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429
- Realised P&L
- $65.5k
- Volume
- $4.02M
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $290.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.253Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
- +$9.6kat 0.290Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$4.1kat 0.824Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.930Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
- +$2.4kat 0.887Aster all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 20:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.921 | $628.51 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $896.22 |
| 08-01 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $941.39 |
| 08-01 07:07 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.0k |
| 08-01 06:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.254 | $0.10 |
| 07-31 22:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.243 | $373.69 |
| 07-31 22:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 21:47 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.8k |
| 07-31 19:54 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $695.34 |
| 07-31 19:50 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.369621 | $184.81 |
| 07-31 19:50 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.76 |
| 07-31 19:28 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.5732306252 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 19:10 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.389 | $110.35 |
| 07-31 18:50 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.949 | $1.9k |