plsnolose
0xbb75c25f81bfa1343e3b7822fc4e1a934ec4f496
- Realised P&L
- $14.5k
- Volume
- $294.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,207
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,207
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.082Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$748.82at 0.084Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$731.11at 0.066Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
- +$720.00at 0.040Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$720.00at 0.040Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 10:35 | Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 05-19 10:35 | Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.18 | $45.00 |
| 05-15 22:34 | Will Derry City FC win on 2026-05-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $263.35 |
| 05-10 19:04 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $225.00 |
| 05-03 16:53 | Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.1000931344 | $93.84 |
| 05-02 06:04 | Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 04-29 02:54 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.160675 | $64.27 |
| 04-28 14:17 | Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $27.50 |
| 04-24 05:44 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $76.77 |
| 04-20 04:44 | Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.33 | $19.64 |
| 04-19 14:08 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.520600024 | $43.38 |
| 04-19 10:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | SELL | 0.3024007105 | $42.56 |
| 04-19 10:22 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $32.86 |
| 04-18 23:44 | Kash Patel out by April 30? | SELL | 0.2722940228 | $21.96 |
| 04-16 04:33 | Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | SELL | 0.1624463739 | $4.77 |