PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

plsnolose

0xbb75c25f81bfa1343e3b7822fc4e1a934ec4f496

Realised P&L
$14.5k
Volume
$294.1k
Markets traded
1,207
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,207
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0780.655$281.64+$248.08
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0650.591$272.76+$242.76
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026? · No0.1800.925$154.16+$124.16
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1400.685$146.78+$116.78
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · No0.1400.660$141.42+$111.43
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.2200.973$132.61+$102.61
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.570$131.51+$101.51
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.0400.790$130.59+$123.98
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.1800.765$127.49+$97.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.1500.635$127.00+$97.00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.2380.979$123.34+$93.34
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.2410.950$118.19+$88.19
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.0700.185$82.03+$50.99
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1400.560$81.43+$61.07
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.1070.411$76.82+$56.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 10:35Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.17$17.00
05-19 10:35Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.18$45.00
05-15 22:34Will Derry City FC win on 2026-05-15?SELL0.999$263.35
05-10 19:04Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.998$225.00
05-03 16:53Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?SELL0.1000931344$93.84
05-02 06:04Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?BUY0.85$5.10
04-29 02:54Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?SELL0.160675$64.27
04-28 14:17Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?SELL0.5$27.50
04-24 05:44US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.998$76.77
04-20 04:44Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.33$19.64
04-19 14:08Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?SELL0.520600024$43.38
04-19 10:23Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?SELL0.3024007105$42.56
04-19 10:22Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.23$32.86
04-18 23:44Kash Patel out by April 30?SELL0.2722940228$21.96
04-16 04:33Texas Rangers vs. AthleticsSELL0.1624463739$4.77