PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

khonikdev

0xbfdd2fb3f69cd098b395eb7390fe973a2158e70e

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$1.03M
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$62.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.6470.325$21.6k$21.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.8520.999$16.5k+$2.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.5440.215$7.6k$11.6k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.6670.905$7.1k+$1.9k
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7500.625$1.1k$216.63
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.7400.505$886.78$412.66
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3330.304$880.31$82.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.470$702.52+$149.47
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · No0.5100.655$577.05+$127.74
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · No0.8830.864$554.69$12.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.7500.983$553.57+$131.21
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.5100.420$518.77$111.17
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.5600.555$495.05$4.46
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.4900.485$494.70$5.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4200.445$478.82+$26.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 01:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.68$240.01
08-01 00:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.9$567.04
08-01 00:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.75$422.36
08-01 00:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.63$252.00
08-01 00:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.62$2.4k
08-01 00:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.83$3.8k
07-31 04:32Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)BUY0.64$292.24
07-31 04:08LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.58$515.04
07-31 04:05Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)BUY0.58$23.20
07-31 03:52LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.36$319.68
07-31 03:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.92$1.5k
07-30 16:41Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)BUY0.53$795.00
07-30 16:39LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonBUY0.59$235.23
07-30 16:35LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.46$9.20
07-30 16:35LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.45$4.50