Sp1t
0xc00b398d48e893ec240efae0cb1aa93fb1a77f8d
- Realised P&L
- $-503.09
- Volume
- $40.0k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $91.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.47at 0.755Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$250.10at 0.456LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$126.40at 0.549LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$86.95at 0.401Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
- +$67.24at 0.254Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 20:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.79 |
| 06-17 14:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.90 |
| 06-17 14:28 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.76 |
| 06-17 14:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $33.80 |
| 06-16 12:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.123 | $31.98 |
| 06-16 12:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $17.11 |
| 06-16 12:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $13.50 |
| 06-16 12:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $23.95 |
| 06-16 12:17 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 01-24 19:53 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.12 |
| 01-24 16:18 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 16:17 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 15:39 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 22:30 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.5643826667 | $169.31 |
| 01-13 16:06 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $82.50 |