PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BlackJellyfish

0xc0738cefabe7176efad87a40c45b9fc2f5eb7c59

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:21Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.91$540.64
08-02 02:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.36$43.01
08-02 02:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.89$370.93
08-02 02:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.95$122.43
08-02 01:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.93$372.00
07-31 22:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.27$105.57
07-31 21:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.34$113.22
07-31 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.27$105.57
07-31 20:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.36$75.48
07-31 20:00Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.023$23.00
07-31 19:33U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.994$1.4k
07-31 18:30U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.359$71.80
07-31 01:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.954$1.2k
07-31 01:06Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.032$14.82
07-31 00:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.031$3.10