baran-ludoman
0xc0bff7089f8536447e3d963fcbaa2d07e3e12032
- Realised P&L
- $89.0k
- Volume
- $3.15M
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $90.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.039US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$17.3kat 0.436Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$16.4kat 0.457Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$9.7kat 0.781Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$9.5kat 0.618US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 16:11 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $47.39 |
| 07-17 16:11 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $62.40 |
| 07-17 16:11 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $62.40 |
| 07-17 13:58 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-15 06:33 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.193 | $10.42 |
| 07-14 16:04 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.196 | $22.06 |
| 07-14 08:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.5k |
| 07-13 18:08 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.95 |
| 07-12 15:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $469.97 |
| 07-06 21:48 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.213 | $1.70 |
| 07-06 17:26 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $14.40 |
| 07-05 18:05 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.224 | $216.65 |
| 07-05 13:49 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.226 | $239.15 |
| 06-16 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.95 |
| 06-16 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.04 | $16.80 |