PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

makinta

0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af

Realised P&L
$96.5k
Volume
$11.42M
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$284.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9781.000$131.3k+$2.8k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9541.000$43.4k+$2.0k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9420.957$18.6k+$291.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8700.875$17.5k+$100.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9710.976$16.6k+$76.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9770.988$16.2k+$173.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9840.970$13.5k$201.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9301.000$12.0k+$834.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8900.895$7.2k+$40.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.9200.635$6.3k$2.8k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.8100.800$641.95$8.02
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9180.931$571.16+$8.28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8200.460$285.49$223.43
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9010.923$101.94+$2.48
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1300.055$17.13$23.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 19:11Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.9950619293$4.0k
07-31 13:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.9978255417$14.3k
07-31 06:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9839903682$10.2k
07-30 12:27Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9571683916$7.0k
07-30 12:27Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9555494412$8.9k
07-30 07:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.984$911.41
07-29 06:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.997$10.1k
07-27 18:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.996$60.7k
07-26 05:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.46$2.3k
07-26 05:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.34$920.50
07-26 05:50Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.23$2.1k
07-25 11:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.997$30.2k
07-25 08:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.9696556709$63.1k
07-25 07:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?BUY0.991$10.5k
07-25 07:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.5$311.71