makinta
0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af
- Realised P&L
- $96.5k
- Volume
- $11.42M
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $284.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.2kat 0.876Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.885US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$22.4kat 0.720Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$22.1kat 0.645Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- +$18.3kat 0.673Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9950619293 | $4.0k |
| 07-31 13:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.9978255417 | $14.3k |
| 07-31 06:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9839903682 | $10.2k |
| 07-30 12:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9571683916 | $7.0k |
| 07-30 12:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9555494412 | $8.9k |
| 07-30 07:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.984 | $911.41 |
| 07-29 06:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.1k |
| 07-27 18:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $60.7k |
| 07-26 05:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 07-26 05:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.34 | $920.50 |
| 07-26 05:50 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.1k |
| 07-25 11:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.2k |
| 07-25 08:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.9696556709 | $63.1k |
| 07-25 07:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.5k |
| 07-25 07:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.5 | $311.71 |