PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CoffeeLover

0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c

Realised P&L
$275.5k
Volume
$17.10M
Markets traded
2,358
Open portfolio
$29.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,358
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2160.248$13.1k+$1.7k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.093$2.7k+$2.5k
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.011$1.5k$2.6k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.095$1.5k+$1.4k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.086$949.99+$464.03
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.051$796.76+$695.09
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.006$775.61$3.3k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4950.220$580.14$724.59
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.049$474.18+$331.89
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.017$473.57+$272.86
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.004$452.44$3.6k
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9730.984$423.17+$4.89
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.5800.655$393.00+$45.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.146$373.88+$359.28
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2650.079$330.49$785.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:27Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.9975$2.4k
07-15 21:00England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.99$481.83
07-15 20:56England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.956388$2.4k
07-15 20:55England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.96$2.4k
07-15 20:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2625$1.1k
07-14 20:42Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.9225$423.30
07-14 20:40Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?SELL0.0775$294.19
07-14 20:10Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.17$42.18
07-12 02:12Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?BUY0.994$8.94
07-12 01:36Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?SELL0.999$2.6k
07-07 20:02Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$1.6k
07-06 18:29World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?BUY0.965$12.63
07-05 20:03Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.49$490.00
07-04 22:28Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4953629032$122.85
07-01 00:49Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$1.3k