CoffeeLover
0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c
- Realised P&L
- $275.5k
- Volume
- $17.10M
- Markets traded
- 2,358
- Open portfolio
- $29.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,358
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.1kat 0.031Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$52.0kat 0.348Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$49.3kat 0.031Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$45.1kat 0.332Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$42.6kat 0.022Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.9975 | $2.4k |
| 07-15 21:00 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.99 | $481.83 |
| 07-15 20:56 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.956388 | $2.4k |
| 07-15 20:55 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.96 | $2.4k |
| 07-15 20:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2625 | $1.1k |
| 07-14 20:42 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9225 | $423.30 |
| 07-14 20:40 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0775 | $294.19 |
| 07-14 20:10 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.17 | $42.18 |
| 07-12 02:12 | Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.94 |
| 07-12 01:36 | Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.6k |
| 07-07 20:02 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $1.6k |
| 07-06 18:29 | World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium? | BUY | 0.965 | $12.63 |
| 07-05 20:03 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 07-04 22:28 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4953629032 | $122.85 |
| 07-01 00:49 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $1.3k |