UbuntuTrading
0xc3cd1d612bbf9fbf80da5a9bff0b0470cb46816c
- Realised P&L
- $157.4k
- Volume
- $46.11M
- Markets traded
- 5,888
- Open portfolio
- $20.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,888
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.5kat 0.591Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$21.6kat 0.015Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$21.0kat 0.150Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$20.5kat 0.006Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$19.1kat 0.026Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:25 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.84 |
| 08-03 01:21 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.081 | $5.03 |
| 08-03 01:21 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.086 | $2.58 |
| 08-02 20:32 | Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.913 | $182.60 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $168.00 |
| 08-02 17:12 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.906 | $5.44 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.975 | $13.60 |
| 08-02 14:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.012 | $1.18 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.016 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 12:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 12:18 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 12:18 | Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 12:17 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.048 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:29 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.936 | $149.68 |