PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xC3Db6a07351313cc684759Dee1722D2bB1e90F98-1768247047455

0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98

Realised P&L
$125.8k
Volume
$2.56M
Markets traded
374
Open portfolio
$54.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded374
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.655$14.6k$333.33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6630.875$14.1k+$3.4k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8800.410$5.5k$6.3k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.3670.205$3.7k$2.9k
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3340.200$2.4k$1.6k
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7070.885$2.1k+$426.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.3700.475$2.1k+$466.62
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.6510.920$2.1k+$605.45
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2000.145$1.6k$611.10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4200.625$1.4k+$455.51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.8900.986$1.3k+$124.26
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0800.055$1.2k$565.92
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0650.022$518.19$1.0k
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3340.120$506.77$902.58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0990.019$322.95$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.0308356546$276.75
08-01 18:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.0638575608$116.56
08-01 18:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.0591580877$297.50
08-01 17:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9192854591$7.7k
07-29 20:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.37$1.7k
07-29 19:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.3797162304$1.8k
07-29 19:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.3689019935$1.6k
07-29 19:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.1855809469$285.86
07-29 19:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8154109907$4.2k
07-29 19:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.9268033084$4.8k
07-28 23:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.0799311024$40.61
07-28 23:01Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?BUY0.95$77.04
07-25 00:46Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?SELL0.1900461449$316.71
07-24 20:14Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0557583905$471.99
07-24 20:09Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?BUY0.834853786$2.4k