0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-1724106061724
0xc6e1926fdb49f824e62e24f5434da966ba3e3b95
- Realised P&L
- $-313.58
- Volume
- $301.9k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$765.81at 0.745Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$608.45at 0.863Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
- +$554.92at 0.945Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$533.62at 0.746US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
- +$377.25at 0.906Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.79479 | $79.48 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 22:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.47 |
| 08-02 22:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.535037 | $53.50 |
| 08-01 19:21 | UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $150.00 |
| 08-01 18:59 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-01 18:31 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.5299999798 | $5.50 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.935 | $935.00 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.894 | $22.35 |
| 08-01 17:14 | UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-01 14:46 | UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8399999988 | $83.00 |
| 08-01 14:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |