PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BrightStars

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5

Realised P&L
$671.3k
Volume
$23.54M
Markets traded
288
Open portfolio
$1.05M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded288
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$663.1k+$244.7k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$173.6k$244.7k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1100.125$98.0k+$12.1k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1650.565$67.9k+$48.1k
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9460.979$28.5k+$945.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1760.245$14.4k+$4.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0240.028$7.3k+$911.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1810.262$817.56+$250.68
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.2860.220$425.61$127.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0310.001$361.81$22.2k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.5740.730$20.99+$4.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9820.973$19.45$0.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$16.8k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$8.0k
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$9.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.53$1.8k
08-02 16:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0274228882$2.7k
08-02 15:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0240008685$533.35
08-02 14:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.024$12.26
08-02 14:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.977$9.77
08-02 13:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.023$151.19
08-02 02:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$618.75
08-02 02:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.014$16.68
08-02 01:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.987$9.87
08-02 01:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.012$72.15
08-01 23:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0196566156$704.92
08-01 19:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.11$244.42
08-01 18:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.09$89.32
08-01 17:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$777.70
08-01 17:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$777.70