BrightStars
0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
- Realised P&L
- $671.3k
- Volume
- $23.54M
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $1.05M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.8kat 0.412US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$168.8kat 0.187US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$84.7kat 0.634Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$63.2kat 0.676US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$41.3kat 0.999US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 16:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0274228882 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 15:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0240008685 | $533.35 |
| 08-02 14:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $12.26 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.023 | $151.19 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $618.75 |
| 08-02 02:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.014 | $16.68 |
| 08-02 01:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 08-02 01:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.012 | $72.15 |
| 08-01 23:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0196566156 | $704.92 |
| 08-01 19:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $244.42 |
| 08-01 18:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $89.32 |
| 08-01 17:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $777.70 |
| 08-01 17:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $777.70 |