PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

QMG-CORE

0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd

Realised P&L
$113.1k
Volume
$15.87M
Markets traded
2,082
Open portfolio
$211.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,082
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8750.935$15.5k+$995.82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9660.989$15.4k+$349.84
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8810.915$14.6k+$536.85
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9030.923$13.9k+$307.94
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6270.675$10.8k+$769.57
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9060.935$9.4k+$289.71
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9220.922$9.2k$0.52
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · No0.9840.995$8.1k+$81.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7150.575$6.9k$1.7k
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$6.2k+$103.87
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9630.977$6.0k+$84.67
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9490.979$5.9k+$182.89
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9170.959$5.8k+$249.18
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.875$5.2k+$91.75
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4940.435$5.2k$712.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:21Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$210.81
08-02 18:54Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.995$1.46
08-02 18:43Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.987$13.65
08-02 17:18Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.92$920.00
08-02 17:13Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.22$220.00
08-02 17:13Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.86$543.04
08-02 17:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.95$475.00
08-02 15:43Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.88$185.27
08-02 11:09Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.996$994.85
08-02 11:07Will the earnings call not air?BUY0.9978871932$145.16
08-02 11:00Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by August 31?BUY0.9699557522$219.21
08-02 09:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.58$1.5k
08-01 22:15Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.9599463488$2.5k
08-01 22:14Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.82$2.1k
08-01 14:30Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.948$474.00