QMG-CORE
0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd
- Realised P&L
- $113.1k
- Volume
- $15.87M
- Markets traded
- 2,082
- Open portfolio
- $211.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,082
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.1kat 0.002Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
- +$5.2kat 0.814Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.5kat 0.002Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$3.7kat 0.977Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$2.6kat 0.993Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $210.81 |
| 08-02 18:54 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.46 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $13.65 |
| 08-02 17:18 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $543.04 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $185.27 |
| 08-02 11:09 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $994.85 |
| 08-02 11:07 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.9978871932 | $145.16 |
| 08-02 11:00 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by August 31? | BUY | 0.9699557522 | $219.21 |
| 08-02 09:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 22:15 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.9599463488 | $2.5k |
| 08-01 22:14 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.1k |
| 08-01 14:30 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $474.00 |