PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918

0xcb58c474467a6dca91d16e346f8f0fe87dfc0160

Realised P&L
$35.5k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$65.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9680.954$19.6k$292.47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.855$12.9k+$679.22
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9490.951$7.1k+$12.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3350.192$6.0k$4.5k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9000.395$5.7k$7.3k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7300.935$5.0k+$1.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.925$2.3k+$262.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.195$1.8k$945.00
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9770.999$1.3k+$27.02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.7560.665$1.0k$137.10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6400.955$620.75+$204.75
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.675$480.64$74.77
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6300.635$317.50+$2.50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4900.605$302.50+$57.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.7000.315$267.75$327.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 20:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.7$357.22
08-01 20:54Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.9596$71.97
07-24 19:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$2.7k
07-23 07:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.752$546.70
07-05 23:28Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.967$9.7k
07-05 23:27Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.919$13.8k
07-03 19:04Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.929$4.6k
07-03 19:03Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.929$9.3k
06-21 02:42Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.9330252991$9.3k
06-21 02:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.996$12.9k
06-21 02:39Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$22.1k
06-20 11:33Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.87$870.00
06-20 11:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.91$9.1k
06-20 11:28Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.83$572.58
06-17 00:54Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.978$9.8k