0xcb58C474467A6Dca91D16E346F8f0fE87DFC0160-1768538034918
0xcb58c474467a6dca91d16e346f8f0fe87dfc0160
- Realised P&L
- $35.5k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $65.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.1kat 0.617Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$4.9kat 0.650Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$3.9kat 0.890Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.821Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.860Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $357.22 |
| 08-01 20:54 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9596 | $71.97 |
| 07-24 19:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.7k |
| 07-23 07:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.752 | $546.70 |
| 07-05 23:28 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.967 | $9.7k |
| 07-05 23:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.919 | $13.8k |
| 07-03 19:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.929 | $4.6k |
| 07-03 19:03 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.929 | $9.3k |
| 06-21 02:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9330252991 | $9.3k |
| 06-21 02:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.9k |
| 06-21 02:39 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.1k |
| 06-20 11:33 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $870.00 |
| 06-20 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.1k |
| 06-20 11:28 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $572.58 |
| 06-17 00:54 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.978 | $9.8k |