PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JoeMaserati

0xcd8f05e07d280a35a22258954dabfa8394094dc1

Realised P&L
$-31.8k
Volume
$2.47M
Markets traded
2,035
Open portfolio
$14.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,035
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies0.9901.000$4.8k+$45.27
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · Detroit Tigers0.9791.000$2.7k+$54.35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8300.890$1.4k+$96.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.9580.921$1.3k$51.10
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9440.979$978.49+$34.20
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9110.745$968.50$216.50
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? · Yes0.9150.882$794.24$29.35
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026? · Yes0.8990.985$600.85+$52.10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9651.000$399.80+$13.60
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega · Cloud90.9551.000$211.51+$9.36
Will "USA" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? · No0.8820.931$111.53+$5.83
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · Yes0.9990.997$99.70$0.20
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9050.982$98.15+$7.65
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.9200.945$94.50+$2.50
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.9690.994$51.41+$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:29Will "USA" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.95$4.75
08-02 18:46Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.967$58.01
08-02 18:44Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.95$4.75
08-02 04:04Will "UK" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.99$5.05
08-02 04:03Will "Alumni" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.986741573$21.95
08-02 04:03Will "UK" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.986741573$21.95
08-02 04:00Will "France" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.9896772009$21.92
08-02 03:39Will "USA" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.8793902439$100.95
08-02 02:25Houston Dynamo to score first vs. Sporting Kansas City?BUY0.999$19.98
08-01 18:11Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5BUY0.999$12.98
08-01 16:13Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)BUY0.999$9.99
08-01 15:36Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5)BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 15:11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)BUY0.9714856004$887.52
08-01 15:10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)BUY0.99$4.95
08-01 15:10Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)BUY0.99$4.95