PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcDD43D196e75F5C6BB63924d618fd20487dc4Cf8-1781459992957

0xcdd43d196e75f5c6bb63924d618fd20487dc4cf8

Realised P&L
$3.41
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$121.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.2660.685$121.05+$74.07
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6760.000$0.00$27.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5590.000$0.00$12.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:04Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.2810592709$26.71
07-20 14:02Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.2481623408$20.27
07-20 08:07Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?SELL0.999$48.62
07-18 07:00Will the AQI at the World Cup final be 90 or higher?BUY0.34$35.45
07-17 05:49Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?SELL0.21$3.40
07-17 05:48Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?SELL0.21$26.99
07-17 05:46Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?SELL0.22$7.90
07-15 23:45Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?BUY0.49$21.40
07-15 23:43Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?BUY0.48$2.40
07-10 20:41Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?BUY0.1925712245$34.78
06-30 10:04Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.5589999828$12.22
06-30 10:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?SELL0.38$12.87
06-29 22:33Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.6699999906$22.70
06-24 21:48Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 5.5 CornersBUY0.5599999733$8.39
06-24 21:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00