PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sleepymonkey

0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$782.5k
Markets traded
868
Open portfolio
$21.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded868
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:06Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.3264056313$22.26
08-02 21:07Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.44$4.90
08-02 21:06Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.4647146353$281.08
08-02 19:59Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.13$26.00
08-02 19:14Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.3276816878$448.95
08-02 19:04Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?BUY0.1720591795$142.43
08-02 18:59Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.323$1.61
08-01 21:28Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.88$17.60
08-01 20:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.66$50.16
08-01 20:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.66$147.84
08-01 18:56Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.87$4.35
08-01 12:52Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.88$12.32
08-01 09:33Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?BUY0.95$160.55
07-31 14:21Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?BUY0.88$67.76
07-31 12:00Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.43425$173.70