ElonMadeMe
0xcfd98f6333af3402c05662adf85dec530232c4cd
- Realised P&L
- $46.58
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $22.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 1?
- +$3.23at 0.016Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?
- +$2.50at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?
- +$2.40at 0.010Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?
- +$2.13at 0.017Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:16 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 23:09 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.51 |
| 08-02 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 08-02 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 04:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 03:25 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 00:36 | Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.21 |
| 08-02 00:33 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 08-02 00:33 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.65 |
| 08-02 00:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.27 |
| 08-01 21:41 | Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 08-01 20:48 | Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 20:40 | Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |