Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-14
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.021 over the period, from 0.045. Range 0.013 to 0.131. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	30	30
0.029	166	195
0.039	200	395
0.040	1,149	1,544
0.041	409	1,953
0.043	200	2,153
0.048	210	2,363
0.060	19	2,382
0.069	800	3,182
0.095	14	3,196
0.120	16	3,212
0.158	9	3,221

Spread0.008Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	39	39
0.012	62	101
0.011	254	355
0.010	1,120	1,475
0.009	220	1,695
0.007	250	1,945
0.005	288	2,233
0.003	200	2,433
0.002	3,994	6,427
0.001	13,314	19,741

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	39	39
0.988	62	101
0.989	254	355
0.990	1,120	1,475
0.991	220	1,695
0.993	250	1,945
0.995	288	2,233
0.997	200	2,433
0.998	3,994	6,427
0.999	13,314	19,741

Spread0.008Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	30	30
0.971	166	195
0.961	200	395
0.960	1,149	1,544
0.959	409	1,953
0.957	200	2,153
0.952	210	2,363
0.940	19	2,382
0.931	800	3,182
0.905	14	3,196
0.880	16	3,212
0.842	9	3,221

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xc106f47caa3294c1FF20C19bAfE784Dc33633054-1783164243345	Yes	1,819.55
greencaca19	Yes	1,786.18
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,184.37
50cents	Yes	1,148.88
Heater69	Yes	688.76
0xed9447AFC07D1224A84001537D795bfc24Be53FC-1769697872954	Yes	686.38
arbokbro	Yes	650.13
seanybet	Yes	582.23
Dr.PNL	Yes	500
Fuadkrm7	Yes	400
0x5c7b19186fC8752A90150692b6b09717eFcE88E7-1783244439691	Yes	389.2
svuxvwhxbxb	Yes	352.94
yangzige	Yes	334.47
retrievaaaa	Yes	330.56
Dominatorrr	Yes	249.57
pabss	Yes	237.97
LornaPredicts	Yes	232.15
0x84d4…77a9	Yes	206.76
Penooooo	Yes	200
lightsout912	Yes	200

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:44:39	BUY	No	0.98	6	$6.00
16:48:12	BUY	Yes	0.0289999724	34	$1.00
16:10:26	SELL	Yes	0.011386681	233	$2.65
15:39:21	BUY	Yes	0.029	300	$8.70
08:11:33	SELL	Yes	0.02	13	$0.25
01:06:14	SELL	No	0.97	1	$0.97
00:36:08	BUY	No	0.975999975	5	$4.99
20:16:11	BUY	No	0.977	5	$5.26
19:58:20	BUY	No	0.9769998307	1	$1.01
19:58:17	SELL	No	0.9630580187	207	$199.19
19:57:12	BUY	No	0.9779999826	1	$1.01
19:57:11	BUY	Yes	0.0285356825	1,786	$50.97
18:32:18	BUY	Yes	0.022	150	$3.30
17:39:41	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
16:49:05	SELL	No	0.978	8	$8.03
11:45:06	SELL	No	0.976	8	$7.81
11:19:32	BUY	No	0.978	8	$7.82
07:05:15	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
06:55:14	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
06:45:15	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
06:18:32	SELL	No	0.976	0	$0.41
01:51:29	SELL	No	0.976	8	$7.40
23:36:56	SELL	Yes	0.004	39	$0.16
23:36:48	SELL	Yes	0.0111492931	811	$9.04
16:46:39	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89