PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd00ae984c4ecbc92f1aa71eeb2095ca3d75f4c29

Realised P&L
$-478.19
Volume
$29.5k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$958.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1350.565$363.29+$276.46
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6230.635$209.32+$3.90
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0800.365$126.74+$98.96
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4100.485$35.49+$5.49
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5990.525$29.58$4.17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.925$27.72$0.15
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.6700.560$26.50$5.20
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? · No0.9991.000$25.01+$0.01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.265$19.14$0.36
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · Yes0.2630.078$17.27$41.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · Yes0.3840.190$13.85$14.15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2800.295$10.54+$0.54
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.835$8.35+$3.35
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? · No0.5900.630$8.16+$0.52
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.070$7.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9299998056$2.87
08-02 12:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-02 11:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4099999954$25.00
08-02 10:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9299999751$25.00
08-02 10:50 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.2699999705$6.50
08-02 10:49 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.2699999857$13.00
08-02 10:31US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.91$1.82
08-02 09:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999698$3.51
08-02 09:17Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2?BUY0.999$25.00
08-02 09:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.88$1.67
08-02 07:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.0038860909$1.50
08-02 06:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.001$1.20
08-02 06:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.001$1.50
08-02 05:55Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.0089327823$1.45
08-01 15:35Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5099999936$8.75