0xd00ae984c4ecbc92f1aa71eeb2095ca3d75f4c29
- Realised P&L
- $-478.19
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $958.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.88at 0.271Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondar
- +$20.37at 0.775LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
- +$17.28at 0.612LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$11.67at 0.300Will IK Start win on 2026-07-25?
- +$11.38at 0.468Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299998056 | $2.87 |
| 08-02 12:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999954 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 10:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999751 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 10:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999705 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 10:49 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999857 | $13.00 |
| 08-02 10:31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 09:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999698 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 09:17 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.67 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0038860909 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 08-02 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.0089327823 | $1.45 |
| 08-01 15:35 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099999936 | $8.75 |