PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jozeslemsek

0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f

Realised P&L
$555.68
Volume
$763.8k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$305.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0150.018$47.18+$8.88
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.004$17.38+$2.48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4300.345$17.24$4.25
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.006$16.26+$6.26
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0690.063$13.13$1.29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0950.065$13.00$6.00
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$12.50+$2.50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.015$12.40+$3.00
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0110.054$9.93+$7.87
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1500.180$9.00+$1.50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.045$9.00+$1.00
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.005$8.80+$0.00
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$7.95$4.36
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$7.93+$0.49
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0770.075$7.55$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:12Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.026$2.54
08-02 21:27Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
08-02 10:56Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$2.00
08-02 10:50Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$3.45
07-30 22:51Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.005$0.85
07-30 17:26Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.06$13.80
07-30 15:39Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.015$15.00
07-30 15:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.012$22.20
07-29 21:34Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$0.02
07-29 21:34Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.005$0.08
07-25 21:37Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.03858022$38.58
07-25 14:13Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?BUY0.001$0.10
07-25 11:33Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.034$0.54
07-24 18:06Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.04$1.00
07-23 19:47Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$4.00