jozeslemsek
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
- Realised P&L
- $555.68
- Volume
- $763.8k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $305.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.42at 0.322Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$52.14at 0.013Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$51.00at 0.002Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$45.63at 0.409Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$33.64at 0.350Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:12 | Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.54 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 10:56 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 10:50 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.45 |
| 07-30 22:51 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.85 |
| 07-30 17:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $13.80 |
| 07-30 15:39 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 07-30 15:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $22.20 |
| 07-29 21:34 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-29 21:34 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.08 |
| 07-25 21:37 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.03858022 | $38.58 |
| 07-25 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-25 11:33 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.54 |
| 07-24 18:06 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 19:47 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |