PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

compute

0xd0d920677cf913e289b6467dde2140d4fa43d6db

Realised P&L
$7.8k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1510.125$1.6k$340.10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2240.175$1.0k$282.13
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3210.300$849.30$60.51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$775.16$657.91
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.2130.190$609.98$75.16
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0790.049$272.37$165.33
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.060$51.91$12.67
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.4990.090$4.78$21.72
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.190$3.11+$0.00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.210$2.10+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:43Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.36$223.95
08-02 12:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.22$264.00
08-02 12:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.21$420.00
08-02 00:55Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.2154681008$364.58
08-02 00:55Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.29$39.55
08-02 00:55Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.4703990523$188.61
08-02 00:55Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.62$65.84
08-01 16:31Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.33$13.20
08-01 16:21Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.33$276.54
08-01 14:49Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.32$8.92
08-01 11:46Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.3265864759$100.46
07-31 21:27Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2$5.00
07-31 21:26Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.1$25.51
07-31 21:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.5$536.47
07-31 21:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.66$401.64