Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.17 to 0.27. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	800	800
0.19	2,126	2,926
0.20	1,886	4,812
0.21	2,447	7,259
0.22	483	7,742
0.23	628	8,370
0.24	973	9,343
0.25	2,059	11,401
0.26	394	11,796
0.27	387	12,183
0.28	1,451	13,633
0.29	2,949	16,582

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	290	290
0.16	4,438	4,727
0.15	10,722	15,449
0.14	1,004	16,453
0.13	801	17,254
0.12	876	18,130
0.11	3,212	21,343
0.10	721	22,063
0.09	962	23,025
0.08	1,270	24,295
0.07	1,266	25,561
0.06	2,750	28,311

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	290	290
0.84	4,438	4,727
0.85	10,722	15,449
0.86	1,004	16,453
0.87	801	17,254
0.88	876	18,130
0.89	3,212	21,343
0.90	721	22,063
0.91	962	23,025
0.92	1,270	24,295
0.93	1,266	25,561
0.94	2,750	28,311

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	800	800
0.81	2,126	2,926
0.80	1,886	4,812
0.79	2,447	7,259
0.78	483	7,742
0.77	628	8,370
0.76	973	9,343
0.75	2,059	11,401
0.74	394	11,796
0.73	387	12,183
0.72	1,451	13,633
0.71	2,949	16,582

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RememberAmalek	Yes	13,165
novv25	Yes	11,267.72
Llama67	Yes	8,171.18
Logan.	Yes	7,346.12
compute	Yes	5,799.72
LinaBell	Yes	5,015.63
AlphaBetaGamma2357	Yes	5,000
mombil	Yes	5,000
PantheraUncia	Yes	5,000
Outsid3rTrading	Yes	5,000
TulipoII	Yes	4,592.57
0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475	Yes	3,901.47
Tnothcote	Yes	2,833.33
GayPride	Yes	2,804.34
endangered.species	Yes	2,000
Haradwaith	Yes	1,613.13
TheManInTheSky	Yes	1,485.64
FuckKhamenei	Yes	1,047.37
Boobavelli	Yes	1,020
QMG-CORE	Yes	1,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:26:54	SELL	No	0.82	190	$155.44
06:31:27	SELL	No	0.82	1	$0.98
01:36:33	SELL	Yes	0.17	230	$39.12
23:57:20	BUY	Yes	0.1799998704	6	$1.00
20:18:51	BUY	No	0.8299999995	282	$234.00
20:04:27	BUY	Yes	0.18	95	$17.10
20:04:26	BUY	Yes	0.1799999997	2,833	$510.00
17:16:15	SELL	No	0.82	5	$3.79
15:27:57	BUY	Yes	0.1799998704	6	$1.00
14:57:00	SELL	Yes	0.17	100	$17.00
13:39:02	BUY	Yes	0.179999987	56	$10.00
12:46:17	SELL	No	0.82	100	$82.00
12:46:03	SELL	Yes	0.17	100	$17.00
12:18:00	BUY	No	0.83	40	$33.20
07:10:17	BUY	No	0.8299999967	12	$10.00
06:32:20	BUY	No	0.8299999087	1	$1.00
06:29:35	SELL	Yes	0.17	65	$11.05
06:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.50
06:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.49
05:32:45	BUY	Yes	0.1799998704	6	$1.00
03:21:02	SELL	Yes	0.16	191	$30.59
02:55:15	BUY	No	0.83	1,022	$848.65
02:49:27	SELL	Yes	0.17	50	$8.50
23:11:36	SELL	No	0.82	78	$63.63
23:05:09	BUY	Yes	0.1799999088	8	$1.50