PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pilimili

0xd1049158a102840ce595efc6ab683a0cb6fbacef

Realised P&L
$-290.1k
Volume
$27.39M
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$309.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9810.988$60.7k+$454.56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9540.976$36.2k+$800.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9861.000$29.7k+$397.16
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9790.982$27.8k+$86.61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9960.998$25.5k+$29.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9921.000$25.0k+$187.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9351.000$21.3k+$1.4k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.8770.635$19.0k$7.2k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9250.957$17.3k+$583.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8800.875$16.4k$94.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9660.992$7.9k+$204.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7300.710$7.1k$200.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.460$6.9k+$300.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9500.982$6.3k+$203.79
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2490.213$2.1k$355.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.998$15.2k
08-02 02:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$23.3k
08-01 16:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$29.4k
07-31 14:35Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.99$6.70
07-31 13:59Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.989$4.1k
07-31 06:18Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.98$48.03
07-30 05:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.997$2.3k
07-29 16:57Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.65$9.2k
07-29 09:03Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.971$477.52
07-28 18:25Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.26$2.3k
07-28 17:54EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$4.6k
07-28 17:46Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.46$4.6k
07-27 18:24Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersBUY0.55$11.0k
07-27 03:56Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.94$6.7k
07-26 19:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.16$1.60