PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ELEZIOR-TV

0xd286b6c35efc7fada932e4b0d6ce9ffc2bcf2322

Realised P&L
$-14.7k
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
1,785
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,785
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2610.145$2.4k$1.9k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4560.345$1.6k$526.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2510.140$479.67$380.57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.043$181.29$158.71
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0340.012$60.70$109.30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.015$48.44$201.56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.0300.025$24.50$5.50
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0430.026$20.24$13.10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1450.043$18.50$44.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1610.128$2.55$0.67
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.207$1.57+$0.15
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.024$1.52$0.10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2870.095$0.57$1.16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.035$0.13$0.17
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0600.029$0.06$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.03$30.00
08-02 06:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0177357525$70.00
08-02 03:27US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0309999997$100.00
08-02 03:27US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$100.00
07-27 17:43US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1699999993$183.00
07-27 17:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$182.73
07-23 05:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2366550335$163.00
07-23 05:25Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0501546073$64.88
07-23 05:25Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0037431513$9.82
07-23 05:25Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0514955357$88.82
07-20 13:59US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$225.00
07-20 13:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.173434866$224.28
07-20 10:23US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3323996012$164.00
07-20 10:23US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1340184858$100.00
07-20 10:23US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00