0xd2b86DA404Bc36Bab60777a18E2e4f7197A88cF5-1770730193385
0xd2b86da404bc36bab60777a18e2e4f7197a88cf5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $120.0k
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.48at 0.519Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$268.64at 0.611Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$49.66at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$37.92at 0.137Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$17.73at 0.220UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.3476922524 | $97.69 |
| 08-01 21:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.1937787338 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 21:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.1354607093 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 21:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 13:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.0100263919 | $77.68 |
| 07-31 13:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.0089023492 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 12:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.0720176943 | $300.00 |
| 07-29 17:36 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 17:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.0741537364 | $70.00 |
| 07-29 15:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 07-29 15:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 15:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 15:13 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0029999997 | $10.00 |