PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd2b86DA404Bc36Bab60777a18E2e4f7197A88cF5-1770730193385

0xd2b86da404bc36bab60777a18e2e4f7197a88cf5

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$120.0k
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.3040.302$497.01$2.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · Yes0.6200.320$258.06$241.93
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.5730.245$222.50$297.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1830.095$180.18$167.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.4010.180$179.61$220.39
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · Yes0.6230.355$170.99$129.32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0660.040$113.09$76.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.1940.065$33.54$66.46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0930.021$32.20$107.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.3480.090$25.29$72.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.1350.055$20.30$29.70
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes0.0700.135$19.30+$9.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Yes0.1170.001$3.49$815.94
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6400.305$2.38$2.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.5110.000$0.00$219.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.3476922524$97.69
08-01 21:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.1937787338$100.00
08-01 21:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.1354607093$50.00
08-01 21:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.4799999983$100.00
08-01 18:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.3799999993$300.00
08-01 18:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.6199999998$500.00
07-31 13:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.0100263919$77.68
07-31 13:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.0089023492$100.00
07-31 12:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.0720176943$300.00
07-29 17:36Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
07-29 17:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.0741537364$70.00
07-29 15:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$15.00
07-29 15:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$10.00
07-29 15:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$10.00
07-29 15:13Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0029999997$10.00