PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

881112

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a

Realised P&L
$451.1k
Volume
$17.42M
Markets traded
1,396
Open portfolio
$126.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,396
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6150.992$13.2k+$5.0k
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8540.935$7.8k+$674.29
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.1200.990$7.6k+$6.7k
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.3720.415$6.5k+$677.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.6960.998$6.3k+$1.9k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5101.000$6.2k+$3.0k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5080.780$3.7k+$1.3k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1490.540$3.4k+$2.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9431.000$3.1k+$173.39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.5800.915$3.0k+$1.1k
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1840.140$2.4k$768.82
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.7971.000$2.4k+$489.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.3170.675$2.2k+$1.1k
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.5041.000$2.2k+$1.1k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.140$2.1k$1.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 09:55Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.114$2.85
08-02 09:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.12$1.6k
08-02 09:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.57$85.04
08-02 02:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.46$45.86
08-02 02:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$40.38
08-01 19:51Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.4$166.90
08-01 19:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.63$246.32
08-01 19:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.63$385.71
08-01 19:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.39$277.34
08-01 19:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.12$7.92
08-01 18:58Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.029$17.21
08-01 18:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.52$116.99
08-01 18:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.51$5.10
08-01 18:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.47$600.38
08-01 18:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.57$357.16