PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tiger555

0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e

Realised P&L
$4.5k
Volume
$42.00M
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$40.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1690.135$1.0k$257.08
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2280.205$974.06$108.80
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1290.095$671.37$240.82
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0480.048$630.77$7.46
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0950.095$595.99$1.00
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3940.405$543.33+$14.74
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2220.196$534.82$73.79
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0190.100$464.76+$375.61
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5750.545$440.36$23.86
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1980.207$421.90+$20.18
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.4040.405$421.82+$1.24
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0190.032$417.58+$173.30
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1380.105$390.07$123.61
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$379.38$206.94
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0370.042$367.01+$40.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:15Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.027$1.40
08-02 23:13Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.0268924731$7.50
08-02 22:41Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.016$6.63
08-02 22:23Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$0.70
08-02 22:22Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$0.65
08-02 21:41US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.14$4.20
08-02 12:53Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$0.27
08-02 12:50Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$4.58
08-02 12:48Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$4.58
08-02 12:45Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011$4.58
08-02 12:42Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.013$5.41
08-02 05:00Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.001$6.67
08-02 04:04Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.033$0.80
08-02 04:01Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.034$2.30
08-02 03:59Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.033$3.89