tiger555
0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $42.00M
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $40.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.085Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$966.59at 0.627US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$880.66at 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$815.09at 0.049Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$432.78at 0.063Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:15 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 23:13 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0268924731 | $7.50 |
| 08-02 22:41 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.016 | $6.63 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-02 21:41 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 12:53 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.27 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.58 |
| 08-02 12:48 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.58 |
| 08-02 12:45 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.58 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.41 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.67 |
| 08-02 04:04 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 04:01 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.034 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 03:59 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.033 | $3.89 |