0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203
0xd676535f347c3be8a531bf08ff1bd417c530a859
- Realised P&L
- $-402.38
- Volume
- $229.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,438
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,438
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?
- +$455.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?
- +$455.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?
- +$455.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on May 7?
- +$455.45at 0.091Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:19 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 08-02 00:53 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.60 |
| 08-01 12:32 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 08-01 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 06-17 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 06-17 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 06-16 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 06-16 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 06-16 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.28 |
| 06-16 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-16 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 06-16 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 06-16 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 16? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |