0xD8d3cf3c09C5cC5BB329E689719c4ed9fCD6ff72-1761073382643
0xd8d3cf3c09c5cc5bb329e689719c4ed9fcd6ff72
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $356.2k
- Markets traded
- 800
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded800
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.98at 0.418Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$428.42at 0.091Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?
- +$316.14at 0.340Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-08?
- +$292.00at 0.270Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
- +$270.92at 0.018Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 13:58 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.19 | $70.75 |
| 05-29 13:48 | Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.06 | $0.52 |
| 05-22 02:06 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.28 |
| 05-18 12:49 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0106722267 | $9.21 |
| 05-18 12:47 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0121781901 | $106.44 |
| 05-18 12:46 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.92 |
| 05-06 12:11 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia | BUY | 0.5675 | $113.50 |
| 05-06 12:11 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia | BUY | 0.58 | $232.00 |
| 04-27 15:20 | Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.29 |
| 04-26 16:30 | Will Dignitas win LCS 2026 Spring? | SELL | 0.035 | $2.14 |
| 04-19 01:12 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.042 | $26.28 |
| 04-19 01:12 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.043 | $176.86 |
| 04-17 14:36 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 04-17 14:30 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 04-17 13:24 | Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |