PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD8d3cf3c09C5cC5BB329E689719c4ed9fCD6ff72-1761073382643

0xd8d3cf3c09c5cc5bb329e689719c4ed9fcd6ff72

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$356.2k
Markets traded
800
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded800
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9240.924$985.08+$0.29
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.3590.150$490.41$684.55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7330.752$423.07+$10.67
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1140.095$211.92$41.30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1000.083$165.00$35.00
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · No0.8960.992$63.49+$6.14
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0140.011$49.75$11.91
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0160.006$39.00$65.00
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6240.795$37.18+$8.00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1060.320$18.45+$12.35
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · No0.9120.899$10.79$0.15
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0230.002$10.50$150.49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.010$10.45+$1.05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3960.887$8.88+$4.92
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · No0.8450.880$8.80+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 13:58Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.19$70.75
05-29 13:48Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.06$0.52
05-22 02:06Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.4$5.28
05-18 12:49Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0106722267$9.21
05-18 12:47Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0121781901$106.44
05-18 12:46Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$6.92
05-06 12:11Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad MaiaBUY0.5675$113.50
05-06 12:11Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad MaiaBUY0.58$232.00
04-27 15:20Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?SELL0.049$0.29
04-26 16:30Will Dignitas win LCS 2026 Spring?SELL0.035$2.14
04-19 01:12Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.042$26.28
04-19 01:12Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.043$176.86
04-17 14:36Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?SELL0.41$2.05
04-17 14:30Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?SELL0.47$2.35
04-17 13:24Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?SELL0.6$3.00