dhadad01
0xd8fac7b6e5741a1eff1140d25de21f3ded6d5580
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $212.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.252Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$1.4kat 0.630Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$938.58at 0.578Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
- +$473.98at 0.676Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
- +$410.23at 0.360Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 10:14 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.28 | $46.20 |
| 07-23 02:14 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 07-23 01:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.753 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 22:36 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 17:16 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-22 17:14 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.74 | $10.06 |
| 07-22 17:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 13:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.99 |
| 07-22 03:48 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $0.55 |
| 07-22 00:19 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $19.90 |
| 07-21 21:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 18:15 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 09:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $12.07 |
| 07-21 09:01 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 23:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.99 |