PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

IceWindL

0xdae6349433286ec4034e61c79698447d4f7ce440

Realised P&L
$17.3k
Volume
$583.9k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2710.278$1.5k+$34.58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9690.962$816.30$5.94
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9900.979$355.99$4.18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4450.445$296.63$0.18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.645$195.44$25.75
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.3000.280$139.40$9.96
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.4010.200$85.76$86.34
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.3300.105$24.16$51.77
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0600.024$23.92$35.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? · Yes0.0260.011$9.09$11.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0430.022$8.71$8.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.3000.002$1.25$248.72
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.1500.000$0.00$45.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.0760.000$0.00$119.49
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$171.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.99$360.17
08-01 19:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.969$822.24
08-01 19:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.0260545158$20.59
08-01 19:08Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.06$59.81
08-01 19:07Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.043$17.03
07-29 13:19Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.27$19.85
07-28 22:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.7500532513$281.56
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.734$1.25
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.734$13.97
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.734$71.43
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.693$18.06
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.693$15.11
07-28 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.6992886076$11.05
07-28 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.6904012922$115.41
07-28 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.716$0.63