IceWindL
0xdae6349433286ec4034e61c79698447d4f7ce440
- Realised P&L
- $17.3k
- Volume
- $583.9k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.896Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$3.8kat 0.640US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.198US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$1.5kat 0.025US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.4kat 0.554Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $360.17 |
| 08-01 19:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $822.24 |
| 08-01 19:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.0260545158 | $20.59 |
| 08-01 19:08 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $59.81 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.043 | $17.03 |
| 07-29 13:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.27 | $19.85 |
| 07-28 22:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.7500532513 | $281.56 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.734 | $1.25 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.734 | $13.97 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.734 | $71.43 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.693 | $18.06 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.693 | $15.11 |
| 07-28 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.6992886076 | $11.05 |
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.6904012922 | $115.41 |
| 07-28 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.716 | $0.63 |