PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hippoka

0xdd9c961288a032098076267bd665d407dac231a0

Realised P&L
$66.2k
Volume
$9.75M
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$64.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:07Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
08-01 08:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
08-01 08:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
08-01 08:43Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
08-01 08:43Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-31 08:20Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-31 08:19Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-31 08:19Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-31 08:19Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-31 08:19Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.053$2.65
07-30 13:53Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.15$145.47
07-22 23:45Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.2329280068$970.66
07-22 23:45Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.7650750432$1.6k
07-22 10:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.1425200614$296.95
07-22 10:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8579688328$893.83