hippoka
0xdd9c961288a032098076267bd665d407dac231a0
- Realised P&L
- $66.2k
- Volume
- $9.75M
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $64.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.3kat 0.092Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
- +$20.3kat 0.267No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$11.8kat 0.026Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$7.5kat 0.920Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$6.1kat 0.790No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:07 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 08-01 08:44 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 08-01 08:44 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 08-01 08:43 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 08-01 08:43 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-31 08:20 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-31 08:19 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-31 08:19 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-31 08:19 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-31 08:19 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 07-30 13:53 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $145.47 |
| 07-22 23:45 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.2329280068 | $970.66 |
| 07-22 23:45 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.7650750432 | $1.6k |
| 07-22 10:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1425200614 | $296.95 |
| 07-22 10:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8579688328 | $893.83 |