hzb8848
0xdda022be1b7707489a2593a515b1f8f5e4139553
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $436.0k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.675 | $2.0k | +$15.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.410 | 0.425 | $1.3k | +$45.00 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.310 | $1.2k | −$1.3k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.605 | $377.59 | −$131.70 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.062 | $124.00 | −$8.00 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.115 | $115.06 | −$7.50 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.011 | $92.00 | −$86.99 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.022 | $46.12 | +$0.98 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $28.50 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.227Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.650Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$1.1kat 0.773Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$464.68at 0.768Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$428.16at 0.492Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $54.00 |
| 08-01 02:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $410.00 |
| 08-01 02:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $669.99 |
| 08-01 02:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $820.00 |
| 07-31 08:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $26.29 |
| 07-31 06:26 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $32.50 |
| 07-31 03:12 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 07-31 03:11 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $18.06 |
| 07-31 03:10 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.066 | $14.21 |
| 07-31 03:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 03:09 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $72.00 |
| 07-31 03:04 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.32 |
| 07-31 02:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.94 |
| 07-24 10:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76807475 | $1.2k |
| 07-24 10:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.766 | $306.39 |