0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171
0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115
- Realised P&L
- $-121.73
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.80at 0.270US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$61.36at 0.389Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$45.81at 0.333Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
- +$41.37at 0.557Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
- +$19.34at 0.140Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:04 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.44 | $75.68 |
| 07-31 18:40 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-31 18:38 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 07-31 18:18 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $16.77 |
| 07-31 18:13 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.4228059908 | $91.75 |
| 07-31 18:05 | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $61.50 |
| 07-31 01:29 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $161.95 |
| 07-28 18:00 | Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2973454545 | $6.54 |
| 07-28 12:20 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.64 | $7.04 |
| 07-28 01:42 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.245 | $24.50 |
| 07-28 01:32 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.33085 | $3.31 |
| 07-28 01:27 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.2251724138 | $6.53 |
| 07-27 22:48 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.54021 | $113.44 |
| 07-27 02:01 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 07-27 01:45 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |