PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171

0xde289ba666e7bb7c74c65ae0a03c9f78d91c2115

Realised P&L
$-121.73
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.6160.495$594.00$145.09
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.7560.905$543.00+$89.05
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8020.885$369.05+$34.68
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7280.785$321.06+$23.20
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.1850.420$269.14+$150.25
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.5910.690$234.57+$33.61
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.4190.430$217.58+$5.56
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7900.780$159.90$2.05
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8000.926$159.27+$21.57
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.3640.285$121.56$33.94
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? · No0.7560.905$116.75+$19.23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1820.085$51.00$58.16
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2400.398$39.80+$15.78
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.1680.079$39.26$44.86
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1010.180$33.84+$14.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 15:04Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.44$75.68
07-31 18:40Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.43$21.50
07-31 18:38Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.41$20.50
07-31 18:18Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.43$16.77
07-31 18:13Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.4228059908$91.75
07-31 18:05Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.41$61.50
07-31 01:29Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.79$161.95
07-28 18:00Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?BUY0.2973454545$6.54
07-28 12:20Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.64$7.04
07-28 01:42Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?BUY0.245$24.50
07-28 01:32Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?BUY0.33085$3.31
07-28 01:27Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?BUY0.2251724138$6.53
07-27 22:48Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.54021$113.44
07-27 02:01Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.64$19.20
07-27 01:45Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.65$13.00