Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.91. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.89. Range 0.89 to 0.93. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	165	165
0.92	1,381	1,546
0.93	55	1,601
0.94	50	1,651
0.95	108	1,759
0.96	574	2,333
0.97	810	3,142
0.98	572	3,714
0.99	1,416	5,131

Spread0.01Mid0.91

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	219	219
0.89	951	1,171
0.88	5	1,176
0.85	90	1,265
0.84	59	1,324
0.83	70	1,394
0.82	200	1,594
0.81	205	1,799
0.80	230	2,029
0.78	200	2,229
0.75	15	2,244
0.74	49	2,293

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	219	219
0.11	951	1,171
0.12	5	1,176
0.15	90	1,265
0.16	59	1,324
0.17	70	1,394
0.18	200	1,594
0.19	205	1,799
0.20	230	2,029
0.22	200	2,229
0.25	15	2,244
0.26	49	2,293

Spread0.01Mid0.10

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	165	165
0.08	1,381	1,546
0.07	55	1,601
0.06	50	1,651
0.05	108	1,759
0.04	574	2,333
0.03	810	3,142
0.02	572	3,714
0.01	1,416	5,131

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GUINESS123	Yes	1,539
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	1,301.14
0x94d929eA781Ba4FD45711C81F7581B574919Bc47-1771307973415	Yes	1,293.1
StanleyGao	Yes	1,285.81
aenews2	Yes	782.35
0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171	Yes	600
LosingEverything12312312323123	Yes	485.86
randomlypunting	Yes	369.5
SDODNDPD	Yes	367.04
AccruingBadKarma	Yes	327.14
politicalsavant	Yes	304.99
0xdeEd8dA2923C34D6839cD738C79a371f4A80900D-1773594568997	Yes	233.82
BetterFish	Yes	221.13
fElon	Yes	211.71
Monies-For-Nuggies	Yes	200
0x0524023958973E608aF9fd0c753c409Bd9421479-1756619843218	Yes	165
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	141.1
Bugblatter	Yes	125.01
albert.00	Yes	122.28
Sandoval1553	Yes	108.8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:44:59	SELL	No	0.09	5	$0.45
10:55:27	SELL	Yes	0.91	20	$18.20
07:38:48	SELL	No	0.08	200	$16.00
17:35:11	SELL	Yes	0.9	1	$1.02
02:54:11	SELL	Yes	0.9069711647	221	$200.36
02:47:53	BUY	Yes	0.92	66	$60.72
22:07:45	SELL	Yes	0.91	4	$3.64
14:42:22	BUY	Yes	0.9	51	$45.90
13:28:41	BUY	Yes	0.9	51	$45.90
19:45:42	SELL	Yes	0.9	30	$27.00
14:18:06	SELL	No	0.09	50	$4.50
14:17:12	SELL	No	0.09	17	$1.56
14:16:51	SELL	Yes	0.8922900763	131	$116.89
14:13:57	SELL	No	0.1	50	$5.00
14:13:45	BUY	Yes	0.9053091405	221	$200.00
12:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.88	199	$175.12
12:11:19	SELL	Yes	0.89	234	$208.26
20:39:07	SELL	Yes	0.89	32	$28.48
20:38:55	BUY	No	0.1	100	$10.00
18:55:58	SELL	No	0.09	30	$2.70
18:55:45	BUY	No	0.1	30	$3.00
08:06:16	SELL	Yes	0.9	53	$48.00
04:58:42	SELL	No	0.09	82	$7.38
21:31:27	BUY	Yes	0.9	1	$0.90
21:30:10	SELL	No	0.1	50	$5.00