PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vv-vv

0xdf44c3e8ce0a3f66dd4cdf7688e1f23500d770f1

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$125.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$26.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7970.785$6.9k$105.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9010.914$5.1k+$74.44
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.6830.865$4.8k+$1.0k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5410.555$2.1k+$51.09
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.7100.760$1.6k+$104.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.725$1.3k+$173.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · No0.7800.815$1.1k+$45.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.6710.530$1.0k$274.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.4950.325$966.22$507.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · No0.8000.500$607.91$364.52
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.5300.340$340.00$190.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.9500.779$123.75$27.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? · Yes0.0400.036$45.49$4.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7799999998$512.00
08-03 00:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?BUY0.0401161992$50.00
08-02 23:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7799999988$530.00
08-02 23:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5399999995$500.00
08-02 23:03US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.9010868397$5.0k
08-02 22:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.57$456.00
08-02 22:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5802579846$224.92
08-02 22:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.31$577.84
08-02 22:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?SELL0.5056521739$581.50
08-02 22:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?SELL0.52$5.20
08-02 22:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?SELL0.52$10.96
08-02 16:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 16:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7799999997$500.00
08-02 16:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7799999997$500.00