whumpa
0xe000e1dd06d3d17dc943dc9215a2e166efd5cbb1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $536.8k
- Markets traded
- 563
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded563
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.536US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$720.84at 0.789Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$700.82at 0.660US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$506.99at 0.088Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
- +$491.86at 0.792Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 08-02 10:04 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 09:59 | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 08:29 | Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.87 |
| 08-02 08:23 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 08:03 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | SELL | 0.688435 | $13.77 |
| 08-02 08:01 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 08:00 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $48.00 |
| 08-02 07:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $26.88 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.34 |
| 08-02 07:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $37.18 |
| 08-01 18:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-01 15:43 | Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.063 | $1.89 |
| 08-01 15:20 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.38 |
| 08-01 15:20 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.47 |