PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xE1a36f6D9F8D14a6237134067aBE3830C87B24EA-1775598809791

0xe1a36f6d9f8d14a6237134067abe3830c87b24ea

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$905.2k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$534.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.1500.308$294.30+$151.09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0060.046$155.00+$135.00
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · Yes0.1410.027$54.07$228.93
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.1680.009$16.72$278.86
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0090.001$2.76$47.23
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0110.001$2.34$47.66
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0130.001$1.94$48.06
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0370.001$1.77$128.23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0340.027$1.59$0.41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$1.31$0.69
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$1.00$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0600.024$0.78$1.22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes0.0800.021$0.53$1.47
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$43.89
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$19.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:14Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.0781519976$95.42
08-02 15:23Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$1.10
08-02 15:22Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1501213421$143.21
08-02 15:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
08-02 11:48Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.006$20.00
08-02 11:45Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.0038148153$12.63
08-02 11:44Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.0460100676$132.12
08-02 11:43Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.0118167561$35.80
08-02 08:22Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.167050891$203.96
08-02 00:48Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1273958268$31.84
08-02 00:19Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0253605027$50.00
08-02 00:19Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1045504336$110.00
08-01 22:07Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0226458694$30.30
08-01 22:07Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0578377981$100.00
08-01 22:06Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.125$100.00